Economy

SET Index above 1,500 in 2027?

15%-9
9mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ667 if YES wins

0%23%

Volume

Ɓ33K

Traders

48

Liquidity

Ɓ3.9K

Closes

16 Jun 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.15
CostƁ1.50
Trading feeƁ0.09
Max payoutƁ10 · +567%
payout multiple6.67x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ1.59

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 15% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 9 pts on the latest BOT minutes. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 75%.

Bull case

  • Export orders have improved for three consecutive months
  • Tourism receipts are running ahead of the same period last year

Bear case

  • A global slowdown remains the key risk to external demand
  • Household debt near record highs limits consumption growth

Confidence

69%
  • BOT and NSO release dates are the main catalysts on the calendar
  • The last three prints of this series beat or missed consensus 2 of 3 times

Key developments

  1. A trade data release shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (7)

GL

@grace.l · 10h

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

BT

@banktawan · 1d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

PS

@peaks · 2d

The odds don't reflect the latest news at all. Loading up on Yes here.

KW

@kanya.w · 2d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

SP

@somchai_p · 3d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

MP

@minta.p · 4d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

MP

@minta.p · 4d

ไม่เอาน่า ผมว่าโอกาสแค่ครึ่งเดียว

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Related news

Economy· Bangkok Post· 4h

Bank of Thailand signals room for one more cut this year

Stocks· SET News· 1d

SET rallies past 1,380 on foreign inflows

Economy· Reuters· 2d

Baht strengthens to 34.2 against the dollar

Resolution criteria

Resolves on official data from the Bank of Thailand, NSO, SEC, or SET as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Bank of Thailand · SET announcements. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •BOT and NSO release dates are the main catalysts on the calendar
  • •The last three prints of this series beat or missed consensus 2 of 3 times
  • •Policy easing is beginning to support domestic demand
#set#stocks