Crypto

Bitcoin to close higher on 26 Aug?

46%+1
7mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ217 if YES wins

37%56%

Volume

Ɓ339K

Traders

158

Liquidity

Ɓ41K

Closes

20 Apr 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.46
CostƁ4.60
Trading feeƁ0.17
Max payoutƁ10 · +117%
payout multiple2.17x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ4.77

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 46% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved up 1 pts on Fed commentary. Top-trader positioning is balanced, and our model confidence is 89%.

Bull case

  • Spot ETF inflows have been net positive for six straight weeks
  • Post-halving supply dynamics have historically supported price 12–18 months out

Bear case

  • Macro tightening could drain risk appetite from speculative assets
  • Regulatory overhang remains in two of the largest markets

Confidence

89%
  • This market tends to gap on US macro print days
  • Options-implied probabilities sit within a few points of market price

Key developments

  1. A large ETF flow print shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (4)

MR

@mayr · 14h

ข่าวนี้น่าจะดันราคาขึ้นอีกเวฟ ถือยาว 👍

BK

@bua.k · 1d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

FS

@fahsai · 3d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

MS

@malisrisuk · 4d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves using the CoinGecko USD price at 12:00 UTC on the closing date.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: CoinGecko closing prices (UTC). Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •This market tends to gap on US macro print days
  • •Options-implied probabilities sit within a few points of market price
  • •Post-halving supply dynamics have historically supported price 12–18 months out
#daily