World

Will the 2026 World Cup final feature a first-time champion?

38%-3
6mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ263 if YES wins

23%48%

Volume

Ɓ23K

Traders

48

Liquidity

Ɓ2.8K

Closes

19 Mar 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.38
CostƁ3.80
Trading feeƁ0.16
Max payoutƁ10 · +163%
payout multiple2.63x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ3.96

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 38% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 3 pts on a trade data release. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 72%.

Bull case

  • Export orders have improved for three consecutive months
  • Tourism receipts are running ahead of the same period last year

Bear case

  • A global slowdown remains the key risk to external demand
  • Household debt near record highs limits consumption growth

Confidence

92%
  • Consensus forecasts cluster near the threshold — small surprises decide this
  • BOT and NSO release dates are the main catalysts on the calendar

Key developments

  1. The latest BOT minutes shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (5)

CS

@chaisaetae · 23h

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

AB

@arthitb · 1d

ข่าวนี้น่าจะดันราคาขึ้นอีกเวฟ ถือยาว 👍

NA

@nokairin · 2d

AI summary is spot on this time. Bull case is strong.

MP

@minta.p · 2d

Whales have been accumulating all morning. Watch the tape.

AB

@arthitb · 3d

Chart looks like a textbook head and shoulders. Careful.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves on official data from the Bank of Thailand, NSO, SEC, or SET as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Reuters / AP wire confirmation. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Consensus forecasts cluster near the threshold — small surprises decide this
  • •BOT and NSO release dates are the main catalysts on the calendar
  • •Policy easing is beginning to support domestic demand
#world-cup