Muay Thai

Will Rodtang defend his ONE title in 2026?

70%+5
1y left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ143 if YES wins

62%87%

Volume

Ɓ119K

Traders

75

Liquidity

Ɓ14K

Closes

20 Sept 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.70
CostƁ7.00
Trading feeƁ0.15
Max payoutƁ10 · +43%
payout multiple1.43x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ7.15

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 70% — traders lean Yes. Over the last week the probability moved up 5 pts on an injury announcement. Top-trader positioning is skewed bullish, and our model confidence is 69%.

Bull case

  • Key players return from injury; full-strength squad confirmed in training
  • Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side

Bear case

  • Fixture congestion across three competitions raises rotation risk
  • Away form has dipped with only one win in the last five

Confidence

90%
  • Lineup news tends to move this market 5–10 points in matchday week
  • The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome

Key developments

  1. The latest team news shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (7)

PN

@ploykn · 5h

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

MP

@minta.p · 20h

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

MS

@malisrisuk · 2d

This resolved YES last year under similar conditions.

FS

@fahsai · 3d

ข่าวนี้น่าจะดันราคาขึ้นอีกเวฟ ถือยาว 👍

WK

@wink · 4d

Sold my position too early 😭 lesson learned.

SP

@somchai_p · 4d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

PN

@ploykn · 5d

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

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Related news

Muay Thai· ONE Championship· 13h

Rodtang announces title defense for Q2

Muay Thai· ONE Championship· 2d

ONE Championship adds Bangkok event to calendar

Resolution criteria

Resolves on the official result published by the competition organizer (league, AFC, FIFA, or ONE Championship).

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Official stadium result sheets. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •Lineup news tends to move this market 5–10 points in matchday week
  • •The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • •Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side
#one-championship