Football

Will a Southeast Asian team advance from a 2027 World Cup group?

4%+1
9mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ2,500 if YES wins

0%16%

Volume

Ɓ250K

Traders

206

Liquidity

Ɓ30K

Closes

24 May 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.04
CostƁ0.40
Trading feeƁ0.03
Max payoutƁ10 · +2400%
payout multiple25.00x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ0.43

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 4% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved up 1 pts on the weekend's results. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 83%.

Bull case

  • Key players return from injury; full-strength squad confirmed in training
  • Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side

Bear case

  • Fixture congestion across three competitions raises rotation risk
  • Away form has dipped with only one win in the last five

Confidence

67%
  • The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • Lineup news tends to move this market 5–10 points in matchday week

Key developments

  1. An injury announcement shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (3)

TP

@tle.p · 2d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

CS

@chaisaetae · 3d

Whales have been accumulating all morning. Watch the tape.

TK

@tanawatk · 5d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

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Related news

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War Elephants name squad for ASEAN Championship semi

Resolution criteria

Resolves on the official result published by the competition organizer (league, AFC, FIFA, or ONE Championship).

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Official league results · FIFA/Thai League. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • •Lineup news tends to move this market 5–10 points in matchday week
  • •Key players return from injury; full-strength squad confirmed in training
#world-cup