Football

Muangthong United to beat Lamphun Warriors in the league meeting?

64%-4
11mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ156 if YES wins

44%72%

Volume

Ɓ21K

Traders

48

Liquidity

Ɓ2.5K

Closes

5 Aug 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.64
CostƁ6.40
Trading feeƁ0.16
Max payoutƁ10 · +56%
payout multiple1.56x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ6.56

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 64% — traders lean Yes. Over the last week the probability moved down 4 pts on an injury announcement. Top-trader positioning is skewed bullish, and our model confidence is 79%.

Bull case

  • Key players return from injury; full-strength squad confirmed in training
  • Recent head-to-head record clearly favors the 'Yes' side

Bear case

  • Fixture congestion across three competitions raises rotation risk
  • Away form has dipped with only one win in the last five

Confidence

58%
  • The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • Betting-implied models and market pricing have converged within ~3 points

Key developments

  1. An injury announcement shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (8)

MS

@malisrisuk · 1d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

GL

@grace.l · 1d

Sold my position too early 😭 lesson learned.

OJ

@ohmjaidee · 1d

This resolved YES last year under similar conditions.

MR

@mayr · 3d

ไม่เอาน่า ผมว่าโอกาสแค่ครึ่งเดียว

PN

@ploykn · 3d

This is free money before the deadline, change my mind.

GL

@grace.l · 3d

Adding on every 2-point dip. Easy trade.

IK

@isankid · 5d

Respectfully, the crowd is wrong on this. The base rate says otherwise.

KW

@kanya.w · 5d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

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Resolution criteria

Resolves on the official result published by the competition organizer (league, AFC, FIFA, or ONE Championship).

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Official league results · FIFA/Thai League. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •The last five comparable fixtures produced a 60% hit rate for this outcome
  • •Betting-implied models and market pricing have converged within ~3 points
  • •Key players return from injury; full-strength squad confirmed in training
#thai-league#matchday