Food

Will a Thai street food stall earn a Michelin star?

28%-5
10mo left

Ɓ100 → Ɓ357 if YES wins

16%36%

Volume

Ɓ587K

Traders

288

Liquidity

Ɓ70K

Closes

29 Jun 2027

Contracts
Buy YesƁ0.28
CostƁ2.80
Trading feeƁ0.14
Max payoutƁ10 · +257%
payout multiple3.57x
Position after fill10 × YES
TotalƁ2.94

Balance: Ɓ10,000 · Read rules ↓

AI Research Brief

Markets price this at 28% — traders lean No. Over the last week the probability moved down 5 pts on a sponsor update. Top-trader positioning is skewed bearish, and our model confidence is 83%.

Bull case

  • Early ticket sales and social buzz are tracking well above last year
  • Government promotion budgets for this event were increased

Bear case

  • Weather risk during the event window could suppress turnout
  • Crowd-control restrictions may cap official attendance figures

Confidence

69%
  • The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions

Key developments

  1. Social media trends shifts odds this week
  2. Analysts split as the deadline approaches
  3. What the latest data means for this market

Comments (3)

MR

@mayr · 2d

Following this market since 62%. Smooth sailing so far.

PS

@peaks · 2d

Any chance this gets delayed again? That's the real risk.

NA

@nokairin · 4d

Been watching this one for weeks — this is the entry point.

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Ɓ100 → Ɓ192 if YES wins

Related news

Food· Bangkok Post· 22h

Michelin Guide Bangkok 2026: what to expect

Resolution criteria

Resolves on organizer-confirmed figures, award records, or official government statistics as applicable.

Market rules

This market resolves YES if the stated condition is met by the closing date, and NO otherwise. Trading settles in DooDoo Baht (Ɓ) at Ɓ1.00 per winning contract.

Settlement & source

Source: Michelin Guide announcements. Positions are marked to the latest crowd price. Contracts settle at Ɓ1.00 or Ɓ0.

Reasoning

  • •The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • •The event has hit comparable targets in 3 of the last 5 editions
  • •Government promotion budgets for this event were increased
#street-food#michelin